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By now, it's crystal clear.
Jimmie Johnson leads Carl Edwards by 141 points. He can clinch his third consecutive championship by finishing 36th or better, 37th and leading one lap or 39th and leading the most laps. This won't be the last time those numbers are used.
As for Homestead, the dual between the two in the four races in which both have competed is straight up: Edwards has beaten Johnson in two races, and Johnson has beaten Edwards in two races. The killer came in 2005 (see below), which gives an advantage to Edwards.
But the glaring number is still 36.
Once has Johnson finished worse than 36th this season: 39th in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte in May due to an engine failure.
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| Pos. | Driver | Starts | Wins | Avg. Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Jimmie Johnson | 7 | 0 | 13.4 |
| 2. | Carl Edwards | 4 | 0 | 7.8 |
| 3. | Greg Biffle | 6 | 3 | 12.7 |
| 4. | Jeff Burton | 9 | 0 | 13.1 |
| 5. | Kevin Harvick | 7 | 0 | 10.1 |
| 6. | Clint Bowyer | 2 | 0 | 24.5 |
| 7. | Jeff Gordon | 9 | 0 | 10.6 |
| 8. | Matt Kenseth | 8 | 1 | 20.0 |
| 9. | Denny Hamlin | 3 | 0 | 13.0 |
| 10. | Dale Earnhardt Jr. | 8 | 0 | 21.3 |
| 11. | Kyle Busch | 3 | 0 | 33.0 |
| 12. | Tony Stewart | 9 | 2 | 12.2 |
| Pos. | +/- | Driver | Points | Behind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | -- | Jimmie Johnson | 6561 | Leader |
| 2. | -- | Carl Edwards | 6420 | -141 |
| 3. | -- | Greg Biffle | 6358 | -203 |
| 4. | -- | Jeff Burton | 6292 | -269 |
| 5. | +2 | Kevin Harvick | 6233 | -328 |
| 6. | -- | Clint Bowyer | 6226 | -335 |
| 7. | -2 | Jeff Gordon | 6151 | -410 |
| 8. | -- | Matt Kenseth | 6091 | -470 |
| 9. | +3 | Denny Hamlin | 6090 | -471 |
| 10. | +1 | Dale Earnhardt Jr. | 6087 | -474 |
| 11. | -1 | Kyle Busch | 6080 | -481 |
| 12. | -3 | Tony Stewart | 6059 | -502 |